Alfred Williamson

Projects

All of this is early and in motion; descriptions are deliberately modest.

Russia–China economic relations

Research internship at the Regional Institute of Security Studies (RISS), analysing trade flows, import dependence, and export asymmetries in the Russia–China relationship through customs data, with policy analysis on sanctions produced through RISS’s partnership with the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI).

Varsko

A geopolitics macro trading terminal at varskoai.com. It reads open-source geopolitical signals for market consequences, scores country risk daily across 51 countries, tracks 6 maritime chokepoints and 10 critical minerals, and keeps a forecast book that publishes probabilities before events and Brier scores after they resolve.

Each read records the actors, tripwires and reasoning behind it. Once published, those lines are frozen in the database; a correction is a new dated row rather than an edit. The terminal is private, while the public page explains the project. I build and run it.

Global Affairs Program, Harvard IOP

Deputy Chair of the Institute of Politics program dedicated to global affairs, leading a fifty-person team that organizes events with former prime ministers, ambassadors, and senior policymakers, and building an internship pipeline connecting Harvard undergraduates with international organizations.

Game theory × geopolitics

A summer research apprenticeship working toward a research question on game theory applied to international politics — asymmetric payoffs, asymmetric information, and decisions that mix cooperation and defection. The writing on this site comes out of that work.